On Monday, Star City author Todd Anderson wrote an article drawing many comparisons between Magic and poker. A forum response drew a much more interesting comparison:
[It is] better to compare Magic to bridge or other trick taking games where you are trying to get the maximum value from each card.
Bridge is a complicated game if you don’t know what he is talking about, so let me explain using Spades instead. In Spades, each of the four players has 13 cards at the start of the game, and each round (or “trick”) of the game involves each player playing one card. The suit played by the first player is noted, each player has to play a card in that suit if he can, and then the highest card in that suit wins the trick.
If you can’t play in-suit, you can play any card you want. Spades are the “trump” suit; if one or more spades have been played in the trick, then the highest spade wins the trick no matter what else is played. Winning a trick can be either a good thing or a bad thing, depending upon the point values of the cards involved and the strategy that you are using.
One strategy is to go “blind nil,” announcing to the table that you will take zero tricks before you’ve even seen your hand. If you succeed, you get a boat-load of points, and if you fail you lose a boat-load of points. So if you go blind nil and you fan open a hand with the ace of spades, you’re screwed. You’re going to end up taking at least one trick no matter what you do. (1) You might think that you’re also screwed if you fan open an ace in one of the other three suits, but it’s not necessarily so … not if you can get maximum value out of your other cards.
For example, this…

… would be a great nil hand, if not for that ace. But, you can use some of your other cards to try and create a situation where somebody leads some other suit that you don’t have, and you drop an ace on them. Maybe you use that jack of hearts early, to make your opponents think they can get you with hearts, and then after you’re out of hearts you drop the ace. Maybe you do something else. Depending on how well you can read or manipulate your opponents, that ace is not much of a disaster at all.
The really interesting thing about that forum comment is that the commenter seems to think poker isn’t like this. In fact, it is. Most amateur poker players know that in no limit hold ‘em,

is a worse hand than

but, being amateurs, they don’t realize how much worse it is. The suited hand is a decent-but-not-spectacular holding that is playable in many situations and against many opponents; the off-suit hand is a marginal hand that will break you if played too often. In the same way that getting poor value out of your non-Ace cards can hurt you in the Spades example above, you can’t afford to have that ten have less than the maximum effect on that jack.
The jack and ten are only mediocre cards on their own, and combining them together adds to their value because of the possibilities of a straight. However, it’s only the flush possibility that maximizes the value of both cards; otherwise, if you have the off-suit hand against three other people and a flop like

comes, what do you really have? One pair with a lame kicker and a couple of re-draws that, combined, will come in less than 5% of the time. If somebody fires the size of the pot at you, what reasonable value plays can you make? However, if you have the jack-ten of hearts here, you might be willing to make a big semi-bluff raise based upon the flush draw, even if you were sure someone else had a better jack. It’s all situational — much like in Magic — but the suited hand gives you more options in more situations, and thus more value.
You see these sorts of value considerations in lots of places. Take the NBA: the Denver Nuggets have had plenty of talent over the past few years, but it was anchored by Allen Iverson and Marcus Camby – two guys who, on offense, just do not pass the ball. Furthermore, since those two guys are veterans, their example shows the younger talent on the team (Carmelo Anthony and J.R. Smith) that they shouldn’t be passing the ball.
A couple of trades later, and Chauncey Billups is now leading the way, showing Anthony and Smith how to lead in turn, and maximizing the team’s overall value. Based on what I’ve seen from the L.A. Lakers recently, the Nuggets are actually my dark-horse pick to win the championship, because they are that much more than the sum of their (already highly skilled) parts.
In the article I mentioned at the top of this post, Todd Anderson leads by saying, “Luck does not exist.” That’s absurd on its face: there’s a random element in almost every facet of life. It’s in that random space that I’ve been making my living these past eight years. And in that space — the randomness of Magic, of poker, of the distribution of pay amongst academic librarians, of the Watchmen film’s ability to get box office, whatever — is where you must maximize your value.
So don’t just go thinking that value is only about making the right-sized bet or building your Magic deck correctly. As long as you can find a way to measure it, value can be found anywhere, and it’s there for the taking.
(1) Actually, most variants of Spades let you pass cards to your partner if you go blind nil, so you’re not screwed. But I’m trying to keep my hypothetical example simple, so I’ll ignore that fact.